With stock market concentration risk at peak, ‘it’s cash, precious metals, and then crypto’ as new normal

by | Oct 23, 2025 | Financial

With a handful of mega-cap tech and AI stocks at the top of the S&P 500 Index dominating the U.S. market in a way without historical precedent, portfolio concentration risk has taken on a new form for investors long told to follow some version of Warren Buffett’s stock advice to “never bet against America.”But with the nine tech stocks that are above Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway by weight in the index representing nearly 40% of the market, it’s an imbalance that has investors looking for new ways to hedge. Buffett may not agree with their response, either, having been a long-time vocal doubter on the value of precious metals, but many are moving toward cash, gold, and crypto to find uncorrelated returns and protection from volatility.”If you break down category ETF flows, it’s cash, precious metals, and then crypto,” Todd Sohn, Strategas Securities senior ETF and technical strategist, said on CNBC’s “ETF Edge” earlier this week, referencing what have been the most popular trades by investors this year. “They’re clearly being adopted by more mainstream [investors].”He linked this trend directly to concentration risk. “Some investors are realizing they have a lot of tech and AI exposure, so they have to differentiate and find uncorrelated assets,” Sohn said.While some experts are recommending eyebrow-raising allocations to gold and crypto, and there is more talk of a 60-20-20 portfolio to replace the classic 60-40 stock-bond mix, most allocations are still small, but growing.”Most of the conversations I have and the allocation papers I’ll read say one to three percent on crypto and three to seven [percent] on gold,” Sohn said.Gold has experienced a rough week, with significant selling, but up over 60% for the year coming into this week’s trading, it is not a major surprise to see some profit-taking. Gold had hit record highs above $4,400 this month, supported by central bank buying, a depreciating dollar, and persistent geopolitical risk, the so-called “debasement trade.”The SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) has seen around $6.8 billion in flows over the past month, in a year during which gold funds have neared the $40 billion mark in net inflows from investors.Crypto, the newer hedge becoming more compelling to investors, has also had a good year, though gold has more than tripled bitcoin’s return of 17%, while ethereum has gained 15%. The launch of spot bitcoin ETFs has brought institutional money into the space and has turned digital assets into legitimate portfolio tools. The iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) is one of the largest spot bitcoin ETFs, m …

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