The Fed decision is expected to feature a rate cut and a lot more. Here’s what to expect

by | Dec 9, 2025 | Financial

The Federal Reserve is poised to deliver its third straight interest rate cut Wednesday, while simultaneously firing a warning shot about what’s ahead.Following a period of remarkable indecision about which way central bank policymakers would lean, markets have settled on a quarter percentage point reduction. If that’s the case, it will take the Fed’s key interest rate down to a range of 3.5%-3.75%.However, there are complications.The rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee is split between members who favor cuts as a way to head off further weakness in the labor market against those who think easing has gone far enough and threatens to aggravate inflation.That’s why the term “hawkish cut” has become the buzzy term for this meeting. In market parlance, it refers to a Fed that will reduce, but deliver a message that no one should be holding their breath for the next one.”The likeliest outcome is a kind of hawkish cut where they cut, but the statement and the press conference suggesting that they may be done cutting for now,” said Bill English, the Fed’s former director of monetary affairs and now a Yale professor. English expects the message to be “that they’ve made an adjustment and they’re comfortable where they are, and they don’t see a need to do anything more in the near term, as long as things play out more or less as they expect.”Where the full committee falls will be expressed in the post-meeting …

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