The shockwaves of the Covid-19 pandemic are still hitting the U.S. car market and pushing prices up, even for exceptionally old cars. The pandemic dealt a severe blow to the total supply of new cars, which has rippled down to the used market.About 8 million vehicles that would have been made for U.S. buyers during those years never were, largely due to production shutdowns and supply shortages, said Jeremy Robb, chief economist for Cox Automotive. Automakers faced with curtailed production weighted their lineups toward money-making high-end vehicles, a strategy they have largely continued. These factors have been pushing up prices for everyone — even customers buying decade-old used vehicles. “I think it’s kind of the new normal outside of a big economic impact,” Robb said. “Supply is not getting a lot better over the next three to four years.”About 16.2 million cars were sold in 2025, up from the pandemic-era low of 13.8 million in 2022, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Cox is forecasting about 15.8 million vehicles will be sold in 2026, while JD Power is predicting 16.3 million. That’s a significant drop from the record 17.55 million vehicles sold in 2016. Volumes were already dropping before the pandemic set in. The auto market is historically cyclical, so sales go up and down. But JD Power Senior Vice President Tyson Jominy said the U.S. auto industry has sold roughly 16 million fewer vehicles than it would have if annual sales had held at the 2016 record of 17.5 million. That is about a year’s worth of volume gone — about half of it since the pandemic. Fewer vehicles coming to the new market have constrained supply in the used one. “A new vehicle sale is the marble at the top of the mousetrap game,” Jominy said. “And when you dro …
