One Nation is capitalising on Australians’ economic pessimism like never before. Is a ‘stagflation impulse’ to blame?

by | Jul 16, 2026 | Business

News summary produced by Claude AI

One Nation, led by Pauline Hanson, has achieved unprecedented polling numbers and approval ratings that exceed those of both the prime minister and opposition leader, marking a significant shift in voter sentiment toward the party. This surge in support comes amid widespread economic discontent among Australian households facing conditions reminiscent of 1970s stagflation, characterized by elevated inflation paired with economic stagnation.

The current economic malaise encompasses multiple pressures on household finances. Australians are experiencing a cost-of-living squeeze alongside concerns about job security and financial stability. Housing affordability has emerged as a particularly acute issue, with younger generations largely priced out of the property market. Consumer sentiment surveys indicate deep pessimism among the population, while interest rate increases have further burdened mortgage holders and prospective buyers. According to recent OECD data, real hourly wages in Australia are declining, meaning living costs are rising faster than typical paychecks, resulting in persistent erosion of household purchasing power.

One Nation has effectively connected these economic grievances to immigration, allowing the party to address voters’ primary concerns while remaining on its preferred terrain of immigration policy. Researchers note this represents a strategic reframing, as housing and economic policy are not traditionally strong areas for the party. One Nation has also linked cost-of-living pressures to its established positions on net zero emissions and renewable energy. The party has employed extensive social media engagement campaigns promising straightforward solutions to housing affordability without apparent cost to voters.

Academic observers suggest voters shift political positions following sequences of economic shocks rather than single events. A notable distinction exists between the initial inflationary period beginning in late 2021 and the more recent cost-of-living wave starting last year, which generated significantly greater support for One Nation. In the recent phase, households face new price increases and mortgage rises while already depleted savings diminish financial resilience.

The next federal election, due by 2028, will test One Nation’s surge in genuine political support. Hanson faces growing scrutiny as a central political player and must demonstrate credible policy solutions while maintaining party cohesion. Labor faces pressure to deliver long-term housing solutions, while the Coalition must establish itself as a serious opposition alternative to remain competitive.

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