China Will Dominate Global Nuclear Energy Through 2035, Analyst Says

by | Sep 20, 2026 | Energy

China Will Dominate Global Nuclear Energy Through 2035, Analyst Says

China’s nuclear energy sector is expanding rapidly and is projected to overtake France and the United States to become the world’s largest nuclear power producer within the next decade, according to analysis from Damien Ma, energy lead analyst for Gavekal Technologies. Ma noted that China’s construction efficiencies allow it to build new plants in approximately six years, compared with more than a decade for recent U.S. projects like Georgia’s Plant Vogtle. Over the past ten years, China added 34 gigawatts of nuclear capacity while the United States added only one plant, with Beijing’s latest five-year plan indicating no plans to reduce its expansion pace.

China’s development of nuclear energy is part of a broader strategic initiative to establish dominance in the global energy sector and become the world’s first electrostate. This includes advanced innovations in reactor design, deployment, and fuel approaches. Recent developments highlighted by Power Magazine include achievements such as in-reactor thorium breeding confirmation and commercial supercritical carbon dioxide generation, demonstrating China’s vertically integrated advanced nuclear ecosystem and coordinated effort toward fuel independence and industrial deployment.

The United States has also prioritized nuclear sector advancement, with the Trump administration publicly committing to achieving lasting American dominance in the global nuclear energy market and developing next-generation reactors and fusion technology domestically. Both nations are working to reduce dependence on international nuclear fuel supply chains through domestic uranium extraction and enrichment capacity. However, the U.S. advanced nuclear sector currently lags behind China in spending and technological development.

In a notable shift toward international cooperation, China this week signed an agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency to share expertise on high-temperature gas-cooled reactors (HTGRs), fourth-generation advanced reactors capable of producing nuclear energy at extremely high temperatures for various industrial applications. The agreement covers research and development, reactor design, construction, commissioning, operations, and information exchange on supply chains and personnel training, potentially providing other nations greater access to China’s HTGR engineering experience as global interest in advanced nuclear systems grows.

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