‘Forcing a reckoning’: How Asia is preparing for a ‘supersized’ El Niño

by | Sep 22, 2026 | Climate Change

‘Forcing a reckoning’: How Asia is preparing for a ‘supersized’ El Niño

Countries across Asia are implementing wide-ranging preparation measures as they face a severe El Niño weather system developing in the tropical Pacific. The World Food Programme estimates approximately 50 million people will likely experience acute hunger as a result of the exceptionally intense conditions, while international officials have characterized the event as historically significant in scale.

China and Taiwan are taking notably aggressive preparatory steps. Hong Kong has revised workplace policies following record heat, requiring companies to reschedule work and provide cooling measures, with potential penalties for non-compliance. Mainland China launched a 100-day preparation campaign focused on extreme weather resilience and harvest protection, including upgraded early warning systems and the development of climate risk maps by cities to identify vulnerable areas. Taiwan conducted a large-scale emergency simulation in early September, testing response systems for prolonged extreme heat scenarios including power failures, water disruption, and mass heatstroke events.

South Asia faces particularly acute challenges. India is experiencing monsoon rainfall deficits approaching 50 percent in September, threatening major crops. The Indian government has established water conservation and harvesting infrastructure in over 350 vulnerable districts while promoting drought-resistant crops. Sri Lanka confronts severe conditions with water shortages affecting more than 160,000 people and forcing wildlife management interventions, while officials prepare contingency plans potentially involving seawater desalination.

Southeast Asia confronts compounding pressures beyond El Niño itself. Regional rice yields are projected to decline between 8 to 10 percent, while elevated fertilizer costs from ongoing global disruptions and seasonal fire haze add strain. Expert analysis indicates previous El Niño response strategies will prove insufficient given the convergence of multiple crises. Governments and farmer cooperatives are promoting regenerative agriculture and biofertilizer adoption, though concerns persist regarding food price volatility’s impact on social stability across the region, particularly in nations where food costs represent substantial portions of household expenditure.

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