Europe’s car makers are in crisis. Will the threat of war rescue them?

by | Oct 28, 2026 | Business

Europe's car makers are in crisis. Will the threat of war rescue them?

Europe’s automotive industry is experiencing significant challenges as it confronts competition from Chinese manufacturers, declining commercial vehicle production, and the costly transition to electric vehicles. Major carmakers and suppliers are increasingly viewing defence contracts as a viable avenue to utilize surplus manufacturing capacity and stabilize their operations.

Ford’s Dagenham plant, which has seen engine production drop from 90,000 units annually to approximately 50,000 over the past decade, is partnering with defence specialists General Dynamics and Ricardo to bid for a UK Ministry of Defence contract worth approximately 9,000 vehicles over five to seven years. The contract aims to replace the British Army’s aging Land Rover-based fleet. Ford leadership characterizes this as an opportunity to demonstrate rapid response capabilities to defence procurement needs. The company’s historical precedent includes substantial World War Two production, when the Dagenham facility manufactured 360,000 military vehicles between 1939 and 1945.

Other major manufacturers are similarly pursuing defence sector opportunities. Renault has established a strategic partnership with defence contractor Thales to manufacture military drones, targeting production of up to 1,000 units monthly. Volkswagen is divesting an underutilized factory in Osnabruck, Germany, which will operate as a military manufacturing facility through a joint venture with an Israeli-based defence investor. Jaguar Land Rover, which announced 4,000 job cuts from its 30,000-person UK workforce, is also bidding for the MoD contract while establishing a dedicated military business unit.

Industry representatives argue that redirecting excess automotive capacity toward defence manufacturing makes economic sense given current market conditions. UK automotive output has declined roughly 50 percent over the past decade, creating widespread capacity underutilization throughout the supply chain. Supply chain vulnerability has intensified as fewer parts are manufactured, and many suppliers depend heavily on individual major manufacturers. Industry leaders recently urged the government to facilitate automotive sector transitions into aerospace and defence, characterizing the current situation as a supply chain in the wrong market rather than in absolute decline. The automotive sector supports approximately 183,000 manufacturing jobs in the UK, with supply chain firms employing an additional 8,600 workers directly.

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