‘The biggest motivation is fear’: High turnout among Israel’s Palestinians could unseat Netanyahu

by | Oct 23, 2026 | Top Stories

‘The biggest motivation is fear’: High turnout among Israel’s Palestinians could unseat Netanyahu

Palestinian citizens of Israel are being urged to participate in parliamentary elections scheduled for next week, with political analysts indicating that their voting patterns may prove crucial in determining whether Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition retains power. Palestinians comprise approximately one-fifth of Israel’s population and are projected to secure between 12 and 15 parliamentary seats through the Islamist Ra’am party and the Joint List alliance.

Polling suggests Netanyahu’s coalition will lose its majority in the 120-seat Knesset, while the Jewish Israeli opposition bloc will also fall short of the 61 seats required to form a government independently. This mathematical reality creates potential leverage for Palestinian parties, despite most opposition candidates publicly ruling out coalition partnerships with Arab politicians. Netanyahu’s supporters have conducted campaigns describing the choice as between “the right or Palestine” and promoting the phrase “Bibi or Tibi,” though Palestinian parties have rarely secured ministerial positions historically.

Palestinian voters cite multiple motivations for participation, with fear of continued far-right governance emerging as a primary driver. Political leaders describe the decision as choosing between “bad and worse” options, as opposition parties generally do not support Palestinian statehood and predominantly back West Bank settlements. Recent events have heightened urgency, including the Israeli Supreme Court’s decision to disqualify Balad party leader Sami Abu Shehadeh from the race over comments regarding October 7 attacks, a ruling widely criticized for applying different free speech standards to Palestinian versus Jewish citizens.

Historically, Palestinian voter turnout has been suppressed by disillusionment with a political system perceived as structurally disadvantageous to their interests. However, analysts characterize the current election as primarily about mitigation and making Palestinian presence visible in opposition to far-right governance, even amid uncertainty about post-election outcomes. Some Palestinian citizens refuse to participate on principle, viewing the electoral system as delegitimizing their rights and treating them as negotiable rather than fundamental.

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