‘No war, no peace’: Can Iran break the deadlock with the US?

by | Nov 12, 2026 | World

‘No war, no peace’: Can Iran break the deadlock with the US?

The prolonged standoff between the United States and Iran remains frozen in a state of neither active warfare nor peace, according to Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, who serves as the nation’s chief negotiator. Speaking to Al Jazeera, Ghalibaf expressed Tehran’s determination to move beyond this impasse and indicated openness to reaching an agreement with Washington on ceasefire terms and restoring transit through the Strait of Hormuz, which has been disrupted by Iranian attacks on tankers attempting unauthorized routes.

Iran has presented seven formal conditions for proceeding with negotiations, including the lifting of the US naval blockade on Iranian ports, sanctions relief, the release of frozen Iranian assets, cessation of hostilities across all fronts, and formal recognition that the war has ended. Ghalibaf stated these demands were already incorporated into a memorandum of understanding reached with the US in Islamabad in June and must be addressed before Iran will return to peace talks mediated by Qatar. However, the Trump administration has pursued an alternative strategy of intensified economic pressure, tightening sanctions, maintaining the port blockade, and implementing operations designed to disrupt Iranian weapons transportation networks.

Experts characterize the current situation as dangerously unstable, with both sides apparently gambling that the other’s capacity to endure hardship will diminish first. Analysis suggests the blockade is creating significant economic strain on Iran, yet Iranian leadership faces domestic political constraints that make accepting terms perceived as capitulation increasingly difficult. Meanwhile, Trump’s advisers remain divided on strategy, with some advocating continued economic pressure while others support diplomatic resolution.

Iran’s primary leverage derives from its control over the Strait of Hormuz, demonstrated recently when attacks on oil tankers caused shipping volumes to plummet dramatically. On November 7 and November 8, vessel crossings fell to near zero compared with 31 crossings the previous weekend. Analysts note that while Washington maintains advantages in sustaining extended pressure, Tehran retains the capability to escalate disruption through force, potentially narrowing the window for negotiated settlement. Qatar has indicated ongoing diplomatic efforts, and recent statements from Trump suggested momentum toward conflict resolution, though US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has dismissed Iran’s conditions as unacceptable.

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