How the shape of a map can determine the US midterm elections

by | May 19, 2026 | World

Which states have redrawn their maps before the midterms?Before the 2026 midterms, at least eight states – California, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas and Utah – passed new congressional maps, according to the National Conference of State Legislatures.On May 13, the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People (NAACP) along with a coalition of civil rights and community organisations filed a lawsuit In Tennessee against the lawmakers who split the state’s only majority-Black district centred on Memphis.Legal battles over redistricting also escalated in Texas, Louisiana, Virginia, Alabama and South Carolina over racial gerrymandering and voting rights before the midterms.The map below shows redistricting activity between the 2024 and 2026 elections.FloridaFlorida’s new congressional map is expected to strengthen Republican control of the state’s 28 House seats and could help the party gain up to four additional Republican-leaning districts before the midterms.The previous map already favoured Republicans with Democratic voters concentrated around Orlando, Tampa and South Florida, including Miami. The redraw further clusters Democratic voters into fewer districts while expanding Republican-leaning areas across central and southern Florida.Governor Ron DeSantis pushed the new district map into law. Voting rights groups and Democratic organisations filed lawsuits within days, arguing it violates Florida’s “Fair Districts” antigerrymandering amendment and was designed to benefit Republicans. TexasTexas remains a major redistricting battleground before the midterms. Republicans hold the majority of the state’s House seats at 25 to the Democrats’ 13.On April 27, the US Supreme Court reinstated the post-2020 congressional map drawn by Texas Republicans, which was chall …

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