Relentless rise in carbon pollution from fossil fuels slightly dampens climate-fighting hopes

by | Nov 12, 2025 | Science

BELEM, Brazil (AP) — For each of the past several years, scientists, analysts and officials have been hoping that it would be the year when emissions from the burning of coal, oil and natural gas would stop going up.They’ll have to wait another year.For the second straight year, emissions from fossil fuels rose 1.1% in 2025, scientists reported Wednesday at United Nations climate negotiations. It’s not a big jump. It’s one of the smallest in recent non-pandemic years. But negotiators gathering for the COP30 conference on the edge of the Amazon are trying to curb warming global temperatures by getting fossil fuel emissions to stop rising and then plunge.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisement“It’s disappointing that we haven’t brought down carbon dioxide emissions,” said University of Exeter scientist Stephen Sitch, a member of the Global Carbon Project, which uses data from around the world to calculate the yearly emissions figure and publishes it in two scientific journals. His colleague Glen Peters of CICERO Center for International Climate Research in Norway called carbon emissions increase “relentless.”Heading to a future where ‘we’re going to cook’A second report from a different scientific group examined how much warming the world is on track for, given this year’s carbon emissions and governmental policies. The report by Climate Action Tracker shows the last four years of climate fighting efforts haven’t much changed projections for a hotter future much. In fact, the scientists found that actions by U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration this year have added a bit more warmth to their projections.“Unless there’s a change in political momentum, we’re going to cook. There’s no doubt about it,” said Climate Analytics CEO Bill Hare, one of the report’s authors.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementClimate Action Tracker said the world is now on target for 2.6 degrees Celsius (4.7 degrees Fahrenheit) of warming above mid 1800s levels, a slight drop from …

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